Blame it on Rio...errr...el Niño

by Janet Crain

It has always been conventional wisdom in Texas that anyone who tries to predict the weather is either a fool or a newcomer.

Consider the following prediction made just two months ago. Now the same people are trying to blame el Niño because it is so extremely cold. Will they ever learn? Are the fools or new comers or just Al Gore true believers?

UK Met Office: Global warming plus El Niño means it’s “more likely than not that 2010 will be the warmest year in the instrumental record.”

Barring a major volcano, of course

December 11, 2009

The UK’s Met Office (originally the Meteorological Office), which is part of its Ministry of Defence, predicted yesterday on its website:

A combination of man-made global warming and a moderate warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean, a phenomenon known as El Niño, means it is very likely that 2010 will be a warmer year globally than 2009.

Recently released figures confirm that 2009 is expected to be the fifth-warmest year in the instrumental record that dates back to 1850.

The latest forecast from our climate scientists, shows the global temperature is forecast to be almost 0.6 °C above the 1961–90 long-term average. This means that it is more likely than not that 2010 will be the warmest year in the instrumental record, beating the previous record year which was 1998.

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